The new year, 2026, has ignited discussions surrounding Donald Trump’s involvement in numerous significant events. Earlier in January, President Trump sanctioned a military operation in Venezuela, leading to the capture of Nicolas Maduro and his wife.

While Trump’s administration accused Maduro of drug trafficking, analysts speculate that the immense oil reserves of Venezuela could have influenced the operation’s true motives. Presently, the US President has turned his attention to Greenland, a territory of Denmark—a close NATO ally. This ongoing drama has begun to adversely affect various financial and cryptocurrency markets, with the prospect of annexation posing even greater risks.

To gauge the potential effects on Bitcoin (BTC) should annexation occur, we consulted four prominent AI chatbots. Here are their predictions:

Predictions from AI Chatbots

Significant Drop Expected

According to ChatGPT, an attempted annexation would result in a “historic geopolitical rupture” rather than a mere controversy. This scenario could instigate widespread panic, causing BTC to drop between 10% and 25% immediately following the news. Furthermore, ChatGPT indicated that although a sharp decline may occur, a rebound similar to the aftermath of the Russia-Ukraine conflict could follow.

Potential for Further Decline

ChatGPT also cautioned that if the US were to forcibly annex Greenland, the fallout could lead to open conflict with NATO, potentially causing Bitcoin’s value to plunge by as much as 40% to 50% shortly after this “global shock” scenario.

In contrast, Grok, an AI integrated into X, theorized that the US would likely abandon its plans due to their ramifications on European relations. However, if annexation were to happen, it suggested a 30% downturn for BTC over the first few weeks, corresponding with a potential stock market crash.

Mixed Reactions

Google’s Gemini predicted that BTC might decline by 30% following such a major shift but suggested that this controversy could also foster a significant price rally later.

Insightful Analysis

“An annexation – especially if forced – would be astronomically expensive and diplomatically isolating. If the US prints more money for expansionism or if the dollar faces weaponization and consequently loses its reserve currency status, Bitcoin’s appeal as a stateless currency would skyrocket. The Greenland saga could potentially lead BTC towards $1.6 million in the years that follow,” was the remark from one expert.

Anticipating Recovery

Perplexity stood out among its peers by claiming that the hypothetical annexation is unlikely to provoke substantial BTC volatility. It maintained that recent discussions about the situation have already influenced market sentiments, allowing room for recovery.

“As tensions diminish and worst-case outcomes are taken off the table, investors’ appetites will quickly renew, facilitating a BTC rebound,” it concluded.