The USA has undertaken a military operation in Venezuela, capturing its leader, Nicolas Maduro, and his spouse. The President has been persistent in pursuing the annexation of Greenland, which has sparked considerable controversy with other NATO allies. The United States has issued a warning to Iran regarding potential military action due to its nuclear program, to which Iran has expressed readiness to retaliate while rejecting negotiations under pressure. Such global tensions, coupled with the ongoing war between Ukraine and Russia, raise fears that World War III may be on the horizon.

In light of this, we consulted four popular AI chatbots about the potential for such a devastating event this year and how Bitcoin (BTC) might react.

The Global Landscape Feels Like a ‘Tinderbox’

ChatGPT assesses that World War III is unlikely in 2026, but notes ongoing global tensions could lead to unexpected conflicts unrelated to Russia and Ukraine.

It believes the chances of war between NATO and Russia are below 4%, suggesting that, if such a scenario materializes, Bitcoin would likely see an immediate decline of over 50%, followed by a recovery if banking systems and fiat currencies are significantly impacted.

“Bitcoin could perform well in a world war if banks fail and fiat currencies are restricted because it allows people to store and move value without relying on the traditional financial system. Initial panic and sell-off could be followed by increased demand for a censorship-resistant alternative to failing money,” the chatbot added.

Google’s Gemini also expresses skepticism about a world war before the end of 2026 but recognizes the current global state as perilous. It warns that if a big war unfolds, particularly with nuclear involvement, most financial investments could lose value as survival takes precedence. In this context, Bitcoin’s appeal as an investment would diminish unless internet infrastructure remains operational.

BTC to Rise Like a Phoenix From the Ashes

Grok, another AI integrated within platform X, believes a world war is unlikely this year. Its expectation is for Bitcoin to initially drop by 20-30% should conflict arise, followed by increased adoption and a rebound in price.

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According to Perplexity, the likelihood of a global conflict remains low, but it reflects on Bitcoin’s historical reactions to wars, suggesting an initial collapse followed by a surge in interest, potentially leading to a price rally.

“In a WW3 scenario, BTC may initially crash sharply from risk-off panic selling, but later rise like a phoenix from the ashes as it gains traction as a decentralization hedge against fiat devaluation and global sanctions,” it predicted.