
Gold’s Surge Nears Record High Amid U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Changes
Gold (XAU) has jumped to its highest point since April, driven in part by a steepening U.S. Treasury yield curve. Analysts suggest that this movement in the bond market may also provide a boost to Bitcoin (BTC).
Over the last ten days, gold prices skyrocketed by over 5%, achieving $3,480 an ounce, closing in on the record high of $3,499 observed on April 22.
What You Should Know
- Gold prices are at their highest since April due to the flattening of the Treasury yield curve.
- This flattening showcases a quicker decline in short-term yields, favoring gold and Bitcoin as non-yielding assets.
- A stable yield on longer durations indicates ongoing fears concerning inflation and risks to the Federal Reserve’s autonomy.
The rally coincides with widening spreads between the 10-year and 2-year yields, reaching 61 basis points—the widest since January 2022, further supported by a notable reduction in 2-year yields.
Ole Hansen from Saxo Bank highlighted that the reduced front-end yields lessen the opportunity cost associated with holding assets that do not yield interest, inherently benefiting gold’s market appeal.
Bitcoin, often aligned with gold as a store of value, could also experience favorable conditions due to this decline in yields, making its position intriguing amidst its dual identity as both a burgeoning technology and a traditional safe haven asset.