
What You Need to Know:
- Major cryptocurrencies anticipate guidance from the U.S. CPI report. Meanwhile, altcoins such as PUMP, AVAX, MNT, and HASH have seen gains.
- A CPI figure lower than projections could trigger a short squeeze on Bitcoin (BTC).
- The Provenance Blockchain Foundation has implemented a dynamic inflation model for HASH, benefitting stakers and aligning incentives.
As Bitcoin (BTC) heads towards the awaited U.S. CPI report, smaller altcoins like PUMP, AVAX, and MNT have surged 8%-11% recently, with HASH leading the pack with a remarkable 28% increase.
On Tuesday, the Provenance Blockchain Foundation introduced a model that dynamically maintains network balance by modulating inflation rates according to ongoing market conditions.
This new approach aids stakers by maintaining the value of their holdings over time. It simultaneously provides additional rewards, ensuring a genuine alignment of interests between blockchain users and the network, which promotes long-term commitment and sustainable growth.
Market momentum might ramp up if the CPI data falls below expectations, increasing the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate adjustment.
“If CPI results are soft and push BTC past significant boundaries, it could incite a short squeeze, propelling it toward the 115,000+ liquidity threshold,” noted analysts from Bitunix in an email.
Conversely, if inflation rates exceed expectations, causing the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) to rise and delaying anticipated rate cuts, the first crucial support will be at 111,000, with potential retests around the 108,500–109,000 liquidity region if it breaks.
Open Derivatives Positions
- Global open interest (OI) in BTC futures and perpetual contracts remains high at 736K BTC, slightly below last month’s peak of 748K BTC.
- Over the last 24 hours, this figure has been stable, reflecting cautious trading activities ahead of today’s pivotal U.S. CPI data.
- Volmex’s one-day BTC implied volatility currently hovers in a modest range of 25% to 50%, indicating limited expectations for volatility stemming from the CPI release. The index recently recorded a level of 35.50%, forecasting a potential one-day price movement of about 1.85%.
Altcoins on the Rise
- MNT spearheaded an altcoin rally, achieving an all-time high of $1.62, buoyed by significant trading volumes on the Bybit exchange.
- Although predominantly a governance token, MNT is attracting substantial staking interest due to its attractive yield offers, leading to two-thirds of its total supply being staked and curtailing exchange availability.
This performance surge has resulted in an influx of interest from traders, suggesting that the new highs could inspire widespread altcoin growth.
Conclusion
The crypto market remains poised for significant shifts depending on inflation data outcomes, highlighting the intricate relationship between macroeconomic indicators and digital asset valuations.