
Shutdown Talks and Stimulus Checks: Possible Impacts on Cryptocurrency Markets
Amidst uncertainty due to a potential US government shutdown, new stimulus checks might provide much-needed liquidity for cryptocurrency markets, suggesting parallels to previous financial cycles.
Amid rising interest in safe-haven investments due to a possible shutdown of the US government, market experts suggest that stimulus checks could serve as a “further liquidity catalyst” for cryptocurrencies.
During a recent interview on One America News Network, President Donald Trump indicated his intention to consider utilizing import tariffs for a new stimulus package, potentially aiding the crypto sector amidst the ongoing government shutdown.
Trump mentioned plans to distribute up to $2,000 in checks to Americans, funded by revenues from import tariffs, with an expectation that this could eventually generate over one trillion dollars annually. Furthermore, he stated that part of the revenue would contribute to addressing the $37 trillion federal debt.
The anticipated stimulus could vary between $1,000 and $2,000 for each individual, contingent upon congressional approval.
President Trump’s interview with One American News Network. Source: YouTube
As of 2025, the government has already amassed around $214 billion in tariff revenue. Any stimulus package coming in the wake of continued government uncertainty might similarly function as a catalyst for crypto markets, reminiscent of events following COVID-19 stimulus checks, which saw a significant increase in retail investor participation.
Analysts from Bitfinex exchange noted that the introduction of stimulus measures during the pandemic allowed substantial liquidity to flow into both traditional and digital markets, aiding Bitcoin’s trajectory.
US tariff revenue. Source: Department of the Treasury, Fox Business
Traders currently assess a 68% probability that the shutdown will conclude by October 15, though negotiations remain at an impasse.
Odds of the government shutdown ending by Oct. 15. Source: Polymarket
For additional insights into this developing situation, traders and investors alike should stay tuned as the Senate resumes talks on funding amidst a growing urgency to resolve the standoff.