Bitcoin Set for Continued Growth as Analysts Predict Record ETF Inflows
Analysts indicate that Bitcoin remains poised for growth, with expectations of unprecedented ETF inflows in the fourth quarter of 2025.
Bitcoin is currently moving away from overbought conditions and seems on track for an upward trajectory, even after reaching a record high this past Monday. Analysts point out that Bitcoin (BTC) peaked at over $126,000 this week, indicating that it is about halfway through its expected four-year price cycle.
According to CryptoQuant contributor Arab Chain, technical indicators reveal that Bitcoin is still in a stable range, distancing itself from the traditional overbought conditions seen before historical peaks. They noted that Bitcoin appears to be in a balanced upward momentum, with its 30-day moving average just below $116,000, indicating a consistent growth trend.
Bitcoin Growth Ratio
Bitcoin’s growth ratio has been on an upward trajectory since May 2024. Source: CryptoQuant
The analysts also explained that Bitcoin typically reaches its cycle peak approximately 600 days post-halving, a process where mining rewards are halved, suggesting that Bitcoin is now entering a crucial phase leading up to significant bull market highs.
Additionally, Matt Hougan of Bitwise forecasts substantial inflows into Bitcoin ETFs during the fourth quarter, predicting that these inflows would exceed $36 billion—higher than the previous record. As of now, the ETFs have already captured $22.5 billion in inflows within the first nine months of 2025, indicating a strong performance.
“From where I sit, the stars are aligned for a very strong Q4 for flows—more than enough to push us to a new record,” Hougan says.
Despite the ongoing price increases, higher Bitcoin prices often correspond with higher demand for Bitcoin ETFs, as media attention and investor interest ramp up.
Hougan emphasizes that a wider variety of investors, as more wealth managers begin to embrace Bitcoin ETFs, will contribute to the rising demand. He referenced a recent Morgan Stanley report recommending flexible allocations to cryptocurrency, suggesting up to 4% for risk-tolerant investors.
Q4 has already shown promise, marked by $3.5 billion in net flows within just four trading days. “We have 64 more days to get another $10 billion; I believe we’ll achieve this and more,” he added.
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