Ethereum's Price Aims for $4,500: Will it Make a Comeback this October?
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Ethereum's Price Aims for $4,500: Will it Make a Comeback this October?

Ethereum shows promising signs of reaching $4,500 again this month, backed by strong chart patterns and onchain data.

Ethereum’s price is eyeing a rebound towards $4,500 as it aligns with a classic chart pattern and favorable on-chain MVRV data signaling potential upside momentum this October.

Key Highlights:

  • Ether’s comeback from a vital support area puts the $4,500 mark back on the table.
  • MVRV bands indicate ETH price remains above crucial support, targeting a rise to $5,000.

Ethereum’s native token, Ether (ETH), has surged over 15%, rebounding from its two-month low of $3,435. Several indicators suggest that ETH might reach the $4,500 level by the end of October.

Analyzing the Bull Flag Pattern

ETH’s current rebound suggests the formation of a bull flag pattern, a technical indicator often indicating a continuation of a prior upward trend following a brief period of consolidation.

In this scenario, the bull flag is depicted by a descending parallel channel, following a sharp increase from the low of $2,500 in April to a high of approximately $4,950 in August.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bounce from the channel’s lower boundary around $3,500 coincides with support from the 200-day EMA, a level historically attracting buying interest during bullish market trends.

If this momentum continues, ETH could aim for a breakout towards the channel’s upper boundary, around the $4,450-$4,500 range in October.

The interim target aligns with analyst FOUR’s double bottom technical setup, which suggests ETH’s price could hit the $4,750 resistance neck in the upcoming days.

Source: X

Trader Luca anticipates a rally towards $4,500 given that ETH remains above its “weekly bull market support band.”

ETH/USD daily chart. Source: X/@CrypticTrades_

Alternatively, a breakout above this range might push the price towards a target over $5,200, which could establish a new record high by November.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

However, trading below the lower boundaries of the bull flag and the 200-day EMA support around $3,550 could invalidate this pattern, leading ETH towards larger corrections between $3,000 and $3,200.

MVRV Analysis Supports $4,500 Target

The MVRV Extreme Deviation Pricing Bands for Ethereum indicate stabilization around the $3,900 mean band, historically serving as a foundation for new price rallies.

Ethereum MVRV extreme deviation pricing bands. Source: Glassnode

Each bounce off this midpoint in the past has progressed toward the +1σ band, presently around $5,000.

This pattern indicates that ETH is in a “healthy correction” phase of its bullish cycle rather than showing signs of fatigue. If the mean level persists as support, a move towards the $4,500–$5,000 range by late October appears statistically plausible.

Disclaimer: This article is not investment advice. All investment and trading activities involve risks; readers should conduct their own research before making any decisions.

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