XRP has started to form a price pattern that intriguingly echoes its behavior prior to its breakout in 2017. Analysts have begun to observe this trend closely, particularly as the market approaches critical levels similar to those seen during the last significant price increase.

Current activity is taking place within a long-term channel structure that has been in place since 2014. This includes lower support, a central median line, and an upper limit. Historical price movements have consistently responded to these boundary levels.

Price Movement Within the Long-Term Channel

A monthly chart shared by EtherNasyonaL indicates that Ripple’s token operates inside a steadily rising channel formed since 2014, exhibiting frequent reactions around these markers. In late 2017, XRP broke above the midpoint of this channel, only to experience a pronounced surge after a brief lateral movement. This pattern culminated in a peak close to $3. Currently, a comparable scenario is shaping up in the closing months of 2025. XRP has recently interacted with the median line again, faced some rejection, and is now undergoing a consolidation phase beneath that point.

“$XRP shows a different perspective. 🔃”
In Q4 2017, following a break above the channel’s middle band, XRP rose sharply within a few months.
In Q4 2025, a similar setup appears to be forming within the same boundaries, evidenced by recent price activity.

At the time of this writing, XRP is priced at $2.44, boasting a staggering daily volume exceeding $3 billion, suggesting robust market engagement.

Chart Indicates a Target of $9.90

An alternate analysis by Javon Marks compares the current market formation to that in 2017, utilizing historical price movements and Fibonacci extensions to forecast prospective price zones. The target price of $9.90 suggests a potential increase of 310% from the current price levels.

“Due to the extreme similarities in $XRP’s price structure to a previous bull run, $9.90 looks to be up next,” remarked the analyst.

The continuity of XRP’s upward momentum hinges on overcoming immediate resistance levels and exceeding past price barriers as whale transactions continue to influence the market.

Large Holders Transferring XRP to Exchanges

Recent on-chain metrics reveal that wallets harboring over one billion XRP have moved approximately 1.09 billion assets since mid-October. This shift indicates that significant holders might be cashing out or reducing their stakes, a sign that generally incites caution. The influence of substantial inflows to exchanges could impact price movements, with Ali Martinez highlighting a bullish signal as the TD Sequential indicator on XRP’s chart recently printed a buy signal.

“Looks like the rebound is about to commence,” the analyst concluded.