The well-known cross-border cryptocurrency, XRP, has faced significant challenges recently, dropping from a high of $2.40 on January 6 to just above $1.10 following a market decline. This represents a fall of over 50%, with XRP currently hovering below $1.40, marking a 25% decrease since the start of the year.

In the cryptocurrency space, it is widely believed that a bearish trend has started, as not only XRP but also BTC and various larger alts have lost more than 50% of their value since their peak in 2025.

Potential Price Scenarios for XRP

EGRAG CRYPTO, a respected and optimistic voice within the XRP community, proposes two potential paths for XRP in the future. The first scenario suggests that XRP might bottom out at $0.60, erasing gains made after Trump’s presidential win in late 2024 and reverting to its original value at that time. This projection entails a deeper decline, coupled with prevailing fear and uncertainty. Conversely, should market conditions improve, XRP might soar to a high of $11.

#XRP – Chart 1 or Chart 2? 💡This isn’t opinion. It’s math, structure, and market behavior. 💡Markets don’t reward comfort. They reward conviction under pressure. 💡Choose your pain or pain will choose you. 📉 Chart 1: ▫️ Bottom: $0.60 ▫️ Top: $11 ▫️ Deeper decline ▫️ Fear… Chart — EGRAG CRYPTO @egragcrypto February 13, 2026

A More Conservative Forecast

In a different approach, EGRAG CRYPTO also shared a scenario with reduced volatility, predicting a bottom at $0.90 and a peak around $8.5. While this option offers less risk, it also has restricted upside potential for investors.

Currently, both lower price points seem plausible, while the potential highs appear more optimistic. For XRP to reach double digits, it would need to triple its 2025 peak of $3.65. The outlook of falling to $0.90 or even $0.60 seems more credible under the current market conditions.

Historically, XRP has demonstrated its capacity for rapid price increases, jumping from $0.60 to $3.40 shortly after the US elections, marking a 466% rise.